FOMC 後 BTC 探 7.5 萬、CLARITY 法案參院卡關——本週定調為「監管立法受挫、槓桿去化與 ZEC 逆勢」
自週一報告以來五線更新:(1)FOMC 9/15–16 利率決議落地,美債 10Y 突破 5%、Brent 油價衝 107 美元,BTC 一度得而復失 7.8 萬、9/16 盤中最低逼近 7.5 萬,24h 多單爆倉約 5.71 億美元;(2)《CLARITY 法案》9/16 參院程序性表決 49:50 未達 60 票門檻,Thom Tillis 保留重新審議動議,幣圈轉向 SEC/CFTC 行政路線;(3)Robinhood 兩名工程師 9/15 遭 SDNY 起訴,涉嫌利用內部上幣資訊在 Hyperliquid 搶跑逾 10 次、各賺逾 5 萬美元;(4)ZEC 逆勢週漲逾 +8%,NU7 治理投票 99.9% 支持區塊時間縮至 25 秒,隱私幣敘事短線跑贏大盤;(5)Revolut 資料外洩升級為勒索,駭客揚言每日加碼公開客戶護照與 BTC 交易紀錄。
BTC 收 $76,257(7d -2.5%)、ETH $2,416(-2.0%),全球市值約 2.62 兆、BTC 市占 58.4%。Fear & Greed 本日 50(Neutral)、週均 58.1,自週一 57(Greed)降溫至中性。穩定幣總市值 311.08B(WoW -0.34%);USDe 4.73B(WoW +6.60%)、USDT 183.27B(-0.02%)。BTC ETF 本窗口週成交額約 92.2 億美元(較上週 +4.7 億)、ETH ETF 約 47.7 億(+18.2 億)。Hyperliquid Perps 7 日量約 495 億、占鏈上永續 55.6%。Cardano 鏈 TVL 約 5,192 萬美元(7d -13.47%)、DEX 24h 約 81.3 萬美元;ADA 週線 -7.7%,Liqwid 代幣 LQ(+1.2%)相對抗跌。
Nasdaq 週跌 -1.05%、VIX 17.71 週升 +7.6%,FOMC 後風險偏好再降。自週一 MSTR(-9.56% 週)略收斂為 -7.57%,COIN -8.06%;CRCL 由 -12.23% 加深至 -16.35%(Circle 偏穩定幣、與 USDC 週降呼應),HOOD 由 -9.74% 擴至 -11.01%(Robinhood 內線醜聞疊加)。礦股 MARA(-6.68%)、RIOT(-8.58%)週線轉弱,與週一強勢 HUT/CLSK 形成反差。FOMC 一句帶過:決議後宏觀再定價,加密高 Beta 與 BTC 7.5 萬測試同步。
Arbitrum Watchdog 治理投票 9/17 截止;Morpho MIP 134 9/18;Lido LDO 做市授權投票 9/21;CLARITY 法案重新審議動議是否再表決;CryptoQuant 81,700 美元牛市重啟門檻;至下週一報告前 BTC 7.5–7.7 萬區間能否企穩。
共 10 則產業消息 · 點「展開」閱讀
數據截至 2026/09/17 09:04(台北)
加密貨幣市值前二十(CoinGecko;漲跌 7d / 30d)
| # | 標的 | 價格 | 市值 | 7d | 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTC Bitcoin | $76,257 | $1.53T | -2.50% | +18.30% |
| 2 | ETH Ethereum | $2,416 | $295.1B | -2.00% | +26.50% |
| 3 | USDT Tether | $1.00 | $183.3B | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 4 | BNB BNB | $723.86 | $96.4B | +0.20% | +19.70% |
| 5 | XRP XRP | $1.29 | $81.4B | -7.20% | +29.10% |
| 6 | USDC USDC | $1.00 | $73.6B | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 7 | SOL Solana | $98.58 | $57.9B | -2.90% | +29.90% |
| 8 | TRX TRON | $0.34 | $31.9B | -0.90% | +1.40% |
| 9 | FIGR_HELOC Figure Heloc | $1.03 | $23.2B | +0.20% | +2.10% |
| 10 | ZEC Zcash | $1,344 | $22.8B | +8.20% | +162.00% |
| 11 | HYPE Hyperliquid | $78.17 | $17.4B | -6.50% | +31.50% |
| 12 | DOGE Dogecoin | $0.08 | $12.6B | -6.40% | +14.60% |
| 13 | USDS USDS | $1.00 | $9.6B | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 14 | XMR Monero | $501.16 | $9.4B | -2.30% | +20.70% |
| 15 | WBT WhiteBIT Coin | $78.27 | $9.2B | -3.00% | +40.80% |
| 16 | RAIN Rain | $0.01 | $9.1B | -19.00% | -1.60% |
| 17 | LINK Chainlink | $11.00 | $8.2B | -6.70% | +15.50% |
| 18 | LEO LEO Token | $8.93 | $8.2B | -2.60% | -4.90% |
| 19 | ADA Cardano | $0.20 | $7.3B | -7.70% | +12.40% |
| 20 | XLM Stellar | $0.18 | $6.4B | +1.90% | +16.80% |
CoinGecko Trending:TRUMP DRV ARGUS NEAR ZEC ONE PONS
| 代號 | 資產 | 週成交額 | 較上週 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IBIT | BTC | $7.51B | +$262.3M |
| ETHA | ETH | $3.97B | +$1.29B |
| FBTC | BTC | $855.2M | +$71.1M |
| GBTC | BTC | $421.0M | −$11.6M |
| ETHE | ETH | $414.2M | +$270.7M |
| FETH | ETH | $384.9M | +$256.8M |
| ARKB | BTC | $270.7M | +$134.2M |
| BITB | BTC | $167.4M | +$11.8M |
DefiLlama 鏈上流通,所有掛鉤、美元計價 · 美元掛鉤 $309.5B · 追蹤6幣 $269.7B(86.7%)
歷年鏈上流通(月資料點,DefiLlama)。上圖看總量趨勢,下圖看追蹤幣種結構。
穩定幣總市值
追蹤六幣+其他(堆疊,單位十億美元)
追蹤六幣(佔全部穩定幣)。WoW / MoM 為週/月變化。
| # | 穩定幣 | 流通 | 市占 | WoW | MoM | 機制 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USDT Tether | $183.27B | 58.9% | -0.02% | +0.14% | 法幣儲備 |
| 2 | USDC USD Coin | $73.79B | 23.7% | -1.12% | +2.54% | 法幣儲備 |
| 3 | DAI Dai | $4.78B | 1.5% | -0.22% | +0.24% | 加密抵押 |
| 4 | USDe Ethena USDe | $4.73B | 1.5% | +6.60% | +19.50% | 加密抵押 |
| 5 | PYUSD PayPal USD | $2.8B | 0.9% | -0.90% | +1.51% | 法幣儲備 |
| 6 | FDUSD First Digital USD | $0.33B | 0.1% | -2.19% | -7.22% | 法幣儲備 |
Paymentscan · Spend 口徑(實際刷卡/結算,非 top-up)· 25 個方案
交易 11,030,410 筆(Sep 2026 截至抓取日約 $0.60B、5,609,948 筆,月未結算僅供參考)
追蹤 Paymentscan 收錄的約 23 個加密支付卡方案(Spend 口徑,含部分 issuer 自報 offchain);不含 Coinbase Card、Crypto.com Card 等未納入項目。
追蹤方案月消費額(十億美元;僅完整月,未結算月見上方備註)
| # | 卡方案 | Sep 2026 | 累計 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RedotPay | $200.20M | $6.38B |
| 2 | EtherFi | $65.67M | $0.86B |
| 3 | KAST | $53.80M | $0.77B |
| 4 | Wirex One | $23.67M | $0.09B |
| 5 | Karta | $23.27M | $0.29B |
| 6 | Kolo | $10.08M | $0.10B |
| 7 | Tria | $8.24M | $0.16B |
| 8 | Gnosis Pay | $3.82M | $0.20B |
數據截至 2026/09/17 09:04(台北)
Circle、Coinbase、Strategy(MSTR)、BitMine 等:交易所/穩定幣/持幣公司/礦企(Yahoo Finance)
| # | 標的 | 價格 | 市值 | 1d | 7d | 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MSTR Strategy(微策略) | $126.18 | — | -7.86% | -7.57% | +35.62% |
| 2 | COIN Coinbase | $164.51 | — | -14.07% | -8.06% | +10.80% |
| 3 | CRCL Circle | $80.45 | — | -17.42% | -16.35% | +12.36% |
| 4 | HOOD Robinhood | $104.42 | — | -8.67% | -11.01% | +9.27% |
| 5 | BMNR BitMine | $22.81 | — | -11.45% | -7.91% | +26.16% |
| 6 | MARA Marathon | $11.04 | — | -4.00% | -6.68% | +20.00% |
| 7 | RIOT Riot | $20.35 | — | -2.86% | -8.58% | +7.02% |
| 8 | CLSK CleanSpark | $12.79 | — | -3.62% | -5.12% | +5.79% |
| 9 | WULF TeraWulf | $15.39 | — | -0.52% | -13.83% | -11.45% |
| 10 | HUT Hut 8 | $89.82 | — | -1.44% | -9.72% | +5.13% |
與現貨幣不同,美股還反映監管、財報、槓桿;不宜直接等價於 BTC 漲跌。
數據截至 2026/09/17 09:04(台北)
ADA+生態相關專案(有報價才列,如 Midnight/NIGHT);鏈上 TVL/DEX 為 DefiLlama Cardano;協議為原生 DeFi 前幾名
Curated 重點(Partner chain/主流 DeFi token);無報價或市值過低者不列。
| 專案 | 角色 | 價格 | 市值 | 1d | 7d | 30d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIGHT Midnight | Partner chain(隱私) | $0.02 | $343M | +3.49% | -10.20% | +20.80% |
| MIN Minswap | DEX | $0.00 | $6M | +0.18% | -5.90% | +9.80% |
| LQ Liqwid | Lending | $0.24 | $5M | -0.34% | +1.20% | +35.40% |
| INDY Indigo | CDP/穩定幣 | $0.09 | $2M | +3.94% | -9.40% | +7.10% |
Cardano 原生 DeFi(單鏈 TVL、DefiLlama)
| 協議 | 類別 | TVL | 7d |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minswap DEX | Dexs | $13.82M | -6.98% |
| Liqwid | Lending | $9.36M | -8.13% |
| Dano Finance | Dexs | $6.01M | -7.29% |
| Djed Stablecoin | Dual-Token Stablecoin | $4.83M | -9.37% |
| Indigo | CDP | $3.71M | -13.14% |
| WingRiders | Dexs | $2.66M | -6.99% |
| Splash Protocol | Dexs | $2.5M | -45.05% |
| FluidTokens | Lending | $2.33M | -11.06% |
本週 RSS 未命中明確 ADA/Cardano 新聞;可對照生態專案、協議 TVL 與論壇治理節奏。
數據截至 2026/09/17 09:04(台北)
涵蓋區間:2026/09/03–2026/09/17(前二週)
| 網路 | 事件 | 時間 | 狀態 | 重點 | 影響 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum | Lido V3 & Stakely: Public & Institutional ETH Staking With stVaults | 2026-09-09 | 官方公告 | Product Overview Stakely is a blockchain infrastructure provider that has operated validators since 2020 for users, protocols, and institutions, with infrastructure distributed across Europe. Stakely is launching two pro | official · Liquid Staking |
| Arbitrum | Arbitrum: Banning projects identified in the high-severity Watchdog Program cases - Good Entry | 2026-09-17 | 投票中 | Abstract The following case from the [Watchdog Program](https://alt.gov.arbitrum.foundation/proposal/28485587559812799913134094629469849411398475232393607771326861344548198896843?govId=eip155:42161:0x789fc99093b09ad01 | governance · L1/L2 |
| Ethereum | Morpho Blue: MIP 134 - Incentives Distribution on Arc | 2026-09-18 | 投票中 | Authorize incentives distribution for activity on Arc with an initial monthly budget of $50,000 based on a one month TWAP price for the MORPHO token, governed under the Optimistic Rewards Framework. | governance · Lending |
| Ethereum | Lido: Authorize a Contingent LDO CEX Liquidity Market-Making Mandate | 2026-09-21 | 投票中 | Summary This proposal requests Lido DAO to authorize a contingent, capped market-making mandate for LDO on centralized exchanges (CEXs), to reduce the risk of LDO trading-pair degradation or delisting due to insuffi | governance · Liquid Staking |
| Ethereum | Lido Alliance BORG Foundation Update: Appointment of Leeward Supervisors Limited as Supervisor | 2026-09-21 | 投票中 | TL;DR This vote seeks Lido DAO approval for the appointment of Leeward Supervisors Limited ("Leeward") as Supervisor of [Lido Alliance BORG Foundation ("Lido Alliance BORG")](https://research.l | governance · Liquid Staking |
| Optimism | Optimism: Upgrade 20 - Super Root Dispute Games & OPCM v8.0.0 | 2026-09-09 | 官方公告 | Proposal Type: Protocol Upgrade Hi, I’m Andrea Federici, Senior Solutions Engineer at OP Labs. I prepared this proposal in collaboration with Adrian Sutton, Matt Solomon and Matthew Cruz from the OP Labs team. Neither OP | official · L1/L2 |
| Ethereum | [ARFC] Unified Handling of the Isolated Flag in Aave V3.7 E-Modes | 2026-09-11 | 官方公告 | Summary Aave v3.7 introduced a per-E-Mode isolated flag that determines whether collateral outside an E-Mode’s collateral set can back borrows inside it. We recommend a single rule for setting it. An E-Mode should be iso | official · Lending |
| Ethereum | Aave V4: [ARFC] Unified Handling of the Isolated Flag in Aave V3.7 E-Modes | 2026-09-11 | 官方公告 | Summary Aave v3.7 introduced a per-E-Mode isolated flag that determines whether collateral outside an E-Mode’s collateral set can back borrows inside it. We recommend a single rule for setting it. An E-Mode should be iso | official · Lending |
| Ethereum | Lido: Proposal for Comprehensive Expense Optimization and NEST/stETH Buyback Parameter Restructuring | 2026-09-14 | 官方公告 | I am putting forward a comprehensive proposal for community discussion and subsequent Snapshot voting. The goal is to aggressively optimize the DAO’s operational expenditures and realign our token support mechanisms with | official · Liquid Staking |
| Ethereum | Aave V3: [ARFC] Custodied Collateral Lending: Aave V4 Isolated Hub & Spoke | 2026-09-14 | 官方公告 | Simple Summary This ARFC seeks approval for the deployment of a new Aave V4 Isolated Hub and Spoke to onboard institutionally custodied collateral as collateral for stablecoin borrowing on Aave. An institutional borrower | official · Lending |
| Ethereum | [ARFC] Custodied Collateral Lending: Aave V4 Isolated Hub & Spoke | 2026-09-14 | 官方公告 | Simple Summary This ARFC seeks approval for the deployment of a new Aave V4 Isolated Hub and Spoke to onboard institutionally custodied collateral as collateral for stablecoin borrowing on Aave. An institutional borrower | official · Lending |
| Ethereum | Aave V3: [ARFC] Revision of ETH & BTC Collateral Efficiency on Aave | 2026-09-16 | 官方公告 | Summary This ARFC proposes raising the LTV and liquidation threshold of the ETH and BTC collateral families on Aave V3 Ethereum Core, Arbitrum, and Base, and the collateral factors of the same assets on the Aave V4 Ether | official · Lending |
橫條為 TVL(十億美元);顏色依 7 日增減
數據截至 2026/09/17 09:04(台北)
TVL 前十 DeFi 協議(排除 CEX;單位:十億美元)
| 協議 | TVL | 7d | 鏈 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lisk Bridge Canonical Bridge | $0.15B | +313.28% | Ethereum |
| Avalon Superearn Yield | $0.11B | +73.93% | Ethereum |
| Vesper Yield Aggregator | $0.09B | +26.24% | Ethereum, Base, Optimism |
| Lighter Robinhood Perps Derivatives | $0.09B | +21.17% | Robinhood Chain |
| Aave V4 Lending | $0.47B | +19.41% | Ethereum, Arc, Avalanche |
| Ink Bridge Canonical Bridge | $0.05B | +16.06% | Ethereum |
| DFDV Staked SOL Liquid Staking | $0.15B | +15.58% | Solana |
| DigiFT RWA | $0.19B | +15.27% | Ethereum, Plume Mainnet, Binance |
近 7 日成交前十(十億美元)
鏈上 Perp DEX 近 7 日合計約 $89.1B(DefiLlama 衍生品板塊)。TVL 優先取協議本身;若無則合計同一 parent/同名生態(如 Bridge/HLP);仍無則標「未揭露」。
| 協議 | TVL | TVL 7d | 24h 量 | 7d 量 | 7d 市占 | 量 7d | 鏈 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperliquid Perps | $6.86B 專案合計 | -2.89% | $6.8B | $49.5B | 55.6% | -7.24% | Hyperliquid L1 |
| Aster Perps | $821.5M 專案合計 | +1.91% | $1.33B | $9.15B | 10.3% | +7.26% | Off Chain |
| Variational | 未揭露 | — | $0.85B | $5.73B | 6.4% | +3.00% | Arbitrum |
| edgeX V2 | $68.3M 專案合計 | +0.76% | $0.58B | $4.1B | 4.6% | -0.97% | edgeX L1 |
| Lighter Perps | $700.8M 專案合計 | -0.63% | $0.55B | $3.77B | 4.2% | -2.13% | zkLighter, Robinhood Chain |
| Grvt Perps | $35.3M 專案合計 | -7.58% | $0.42B | $2.99B | 3.4% | -3.07% | GRVT |
| Antarctic | $8.9M | -5.21% | $0.33B | $2.27B | 2.5% | -1.16% | Off Chain |
| QFEX | 未揭露 | — | $0.23B | $1.34B | 1.5% | +1.24% | Off Chain |
| Lighter Robinhood Perps | $86.4M | +21.17% | $0.2B | $1.31B | 1.5% | +19.11% | Robinhood Chain |
| Apex Omni | $31.0M | +0.75% | $0.14B | $0.85B | 0.9% | -4.29% | Ethereum |
資料來源
查詢時間:2026-09-17 09:04 台北
TradingView Lightweight Charts:滾輪縮放、拖曳平移;價格/RSI/MACD 同一時間軸。資料:Yahoo Finance(BTC/ETH/BNB/SOL/ADA/LINK/HYPE/Lighter 日線)
RSI(14):相對強弱指標,用近 14 日漲跌幅度衡量超買/超賣。一般 >70 偏超買(動能過熱、留意回檔)、<30 偏超賣(賣壓過重、留意反彈);中段多為盤整。加密貨幣波動大,區間可當參考而非絕對買賣訊號。
MACD(12,26,9):指數平滑異同移動平均線。MACD 線=快線 EMA12−慢線 EMA26,訊號線=MACD 的 EMA9,柱狀圖=MACD−訊號。柱由負轉正/MACD 上穿訊號線,常視為動能轉多;反之轉空。與價格背離時更值得留意趨勢轉折。